{
  "dataset_version": "2026.10.1",
  "topic_id": "mini_kelly",
  "question": "Is a Mini Kelly harder to be offered than other quota bags?",
  "asked_as": [],
  "status": "active",
  "lead_answer": null,
  "short_answer": "Mini Kelly appears more competitive and more variable than many larger configurations.",
  "detailed_answer": "Recent community material includes low-ratio relationship exceptions and roughly 2 to 2.80:1 first-person examples; 3 to 5.00:1 figures appear more often as competitive-market estimates than fully documented transactions.",
  "confidence": "medium_high",
  "sample_strength": "limited_to_moderate",
  "geography": "Global, mostly US reports",
  "period": {
    "from": "2024-01",
    "to": "2026-09"
  },
  "last_reviewed": "2026-09-10",
  "observations": [
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-005",
      "topic_id": "mini_kelly_competitiveness",
      "statement": "Mini Kelly is repeatedly described as highly competitive and highly variable.",
      "evidence_layers": [
        "RP001-A",
        "RP001-B",
        "RP001-C"
      ],
      "frequency": "commonly_observed",
      "confidence": "medium_high",
      "sample_strength": "limited_to_moderate",
      "causal_strength": "unproven",
      "status": "active"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-006",
      "topic_id": "small_neutral_b25_k25_difficulty",
      "statement": "Small neutral B25/K25 configurations are frequently described as more difficult than larger or less-requested configurations.",
      "evidence_layers": [
        "RP001-A",
        "RP001-B",
        "RP001-C"
      ],
      "frequency": "commonly_observed",
      "confidence": "medium",
      "sample_strength": "limited",
      "causal_strength": "unproven",
      "status": "active"
    }
  ],
  "benchmarks": [],
  "observed_ranges": [],
  "exceptions": [
    {
      "exception_id": "MQB-EXC-003",
      "topic": "high_ratio_failure",
      "statement": "3x–4x with no offer or no desired offer is reported."
    }
  ],
  "contradictions": [],
  "research_gaps": [],
  "official_position": {
    "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
    "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-001",
    "topic_id": "official_numeric_ratio_threshold",
    "statement": "No public Hermès numeric pre-spend threshold or formula was identified in the reviewed materials.",
    "evidence_layers": [
      "RP001-A",
      "RP001-B",
      "RP001-C"
    ],
    "frequency": null,
    "confidence": "high",
    "sample_strength": "not_applicable",
    "causal_strength": "not_applicable",
    "status": "active",
    "note": "Based on the materials reviewed."
  },
  "sources": [
    {
      "canonical_source_id": "CANON-SRC-000004",
      "normalized_url": "legitapp.com/blog/the-2026-hermes-bag-hierarchy-a-guide-to-the-quota-system-and-retail-prices",
      "url": "https://legitapp.com/blog/the-2026-hermes-bag-hierarchy-a-guide-to-the-quota-system-and-retail-prices",
      "platform": "specialist_blog",
      "title": "The 2026 Hermes Bag Hierarchy",
      "publication_date": "2026-05-21",
      "source_quality": "C",
      "geography": "US",
      "access": "snippet_only",
      "evidence_type": "aggregated_community_observation",
      "discovery_passes": [
        "RP001-A-STRICT-WEB"
      ],
      "pass_source_ids": [
        "RP001-A-SRC-004"
      ],
      "independent_discovery_count": 1
    },
    {
      "canonical_source_id": "CANON-SRC-000007",
      "normalized_url": "amyodell.substack.com/p/birkin-buyer-confessions-part-i",
      "url": "https://amyodell.substack.com/p/birkin-buyer-confessions-part-i",
      "platform": "newsletter_journalism",
      "title": "Birkin Buyer Confessions, Part I",
      "publication_date": "2025-01-16",
      "source_quality": "B",
      "geography": "US, Dubai",
      "access": "ACCESS_LIMITED_PAYWALL",
      "evidence_type": "first_person_report",
      "discovery_passes": [
        "RP001-A-STRICT-WEB"
      ],
      "pass_source_ids": [
        "RP001-A-SRC-007"
      ],
      "independent_discovery_count": 1
    }
  ],
  "html_url": "https://myquotabag.com/myquotabag-data/mini-kelly/"
}