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    },
    {
      "source_id": "RP001-A-SRC-017",
      "platform": "reseller_blog",
      "url": "https://romestation.ca/blogs/news/the-hermes-store-visit-how-to-maximize-your-chances-of-scoring-a-bag",
      "title": "The Hermes Store Visit",
      "publication_date": "2026-02-09",
      "source_quality": "D",
      "access": "snippet_only"
    }
  ],
  "observations": [
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-001",
      "topic_id": "official_numeric_ratio_threshold",
      "statement": "No public Hermès numeric pre-spend threshold or formula was identified in the reviewed materials.",
      "evidence_layers": [
        "RP001-A",
        "RP001-B",
        "RP001-C"
      ],
      "frequency": null,
      "confidence": "high",
      "sample_strength": "not_applicable",
      "causal_strength": "not_applicable",
      "status": "active",
      "note": "Based on the materials reviewed."
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-002",
      "topic_id": "north_america_ratio_band",
      "statement": "Recent public collector reports frequently place many quota-bag journeys around roughly 1.0x–2.5x, especially in North America.",
      "evidence_layers": [
        "RP001-A",
        "RP001-B",
        "RP001-C"
      ],
      "frequency": "commonly_observed",
      "confidence": "medium_high",
      "sample_strength": "moderate",
      "causal_strength": "unproven",
      "status": "active"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-003",
      "topic_id": "sub_1x_offers",
      "statement": "Offers below 1.0x occur in public collector reports and should not be described as impossible.",
      "evidence_layers": [
        "RP001-A",
        "RP001-B",
        "RP001-C"
      ],
      "frequency": "occasionally_observed",
      "confidence": "medium_high",
      "sample_strength": "moderate",
      "causal_strength": "not_applicable",
      "status": "active"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-004",
      "topic_id": "high_ratio_no_guarantee",
      "statement": "High ratios do not guarantee the requested bag; reports include 3x–4x without an offer or desired configuration.",
      "evidence_layers": [
        "RP001-A",
        "RP001-B",
        "RP001-C"
      ],
      "frequency": "rare_report",
      "confidence": "medium_high",
      "sample_strength": "moderate",
      "causal_strength": "not_applicable",
      "status": "active"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-005",
      "topic_id": "mini_kelly_competitiveness",
      "statement": "Mini Kelly is repeatedly described as highly competitive and highly variable.",
      "evidence_layers": [
        "RP001-A",
        "RP001-B",
        "RP001-C"
      ],
      "frequency": "commonly_observed",
      "confidence": "medium_high",
      "sample_strength": "limited_to_moderate",
      "causal_strength": "unproven",
      "status": "active"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-006",
      "topic_id": "small_neutral_b25_k25_difficulty",
      "statement": "Small neutral B25/K25 configurations are frequently described as more difficult than larger or less-requested configurations.",
      "evidence_layers": [
        "RP001-A",
        "RP001-B",
        "RP001-C"
      ],
      "frequency": "commonly_observed",
      "confidence": "medium",
      "sample_strength": "limited",
      "causal_strength": "unproven",
      "status": "active"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-007",
      "topic_id": "repeat_quota_incremental_spend",
      "statement": "Some established clients report later offers at materially lower incremental spend, but QB2 is not automatically easier.",
      "evidence_layers": [
        "RP001-A",
        "RP001-B",
        "RP001-C"
      ],
      "frequency": "mixed",
      "confidence": "medium_high",
      "sample_strength": "moderate",
      "causal_strength": "unproven",
      "status": "active"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-008",
      "topic_id": "paris_separate_model",
      "statement": "Paris leather-appointment journeys should not be pooled blindly with home-boutique ratio journeys.",
      "evidence_layers": [
        "RP001-A",
        "RP001-B",
        "RP001-C"
      ],
      "frequency": "commonly_observed",
      "confidence": "medium_high",
      "sample_strength": "limited",
      "causal_strength": "not_applicable",
      "status": "active"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-009",
      "topic_id": "category_signals",
      "statement": "Ready-to-Wear, fine jewelry, watches and home are the categories collectors mention most often; no formula has been verified.",
      "evidence_layers": [
        "RP001-A",
        "RP001-B",
        "RP001-C"
      ],
      "frequency": "frequently_observed",
      "confidence": "medium_high",
      "sample_strength": "moderate",
      "causal_strength": "unproven",
      "status": "active"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-010",
      "topic_id": "leather_heavy_profile",
      "statement": "Some collectors describe leather-heavy purchasing as weighing less than other categories; this is a community perception, not a verified rule.",
      "evidence_layers": [
        "RP001-A",
        "RP001-B",
        "RP001-C"
      ],
      "frequency": "commonly_observed",
      "confidence": "medium",
      "sample_strength": "limited",
      "causal_strength": "unproven",
      "status": "active"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-011",
      "topic_id": "sa_relationship",
      "statement": "Continuity with a sales associate and management awareness recur frequently in successful-journey narratives.",
      "evidence_layers": [
        "RP001-A",
        "RP001-B",
        "RP001-C"
      ],
      "frequency": "frequently_observed",
      "confidence": "medium_high",
      "sample_strength": "moderate",
      "causal_strength": "unproven",
      "status": "active"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-012",
      "topic_id": "waiting_time",
      "statement": "Reports span immediate/travel exceptions through waits longer than a year; several-month journeys are common, competitive markets can extend 12–24+ months.",
      "evidence_layers": [
        "RP001-A",
        "RP001-B",
        "RP001-C"
      ],
      "frequency": "commonly_observed",
      "confidence": "medium",
      "sample_strength": "limited",
      "causal_strength": "not_applicable",
      "status": "active"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-013",
      "topic_id": "canada_toronto_vancouver",
      "statement": "Toronto and Vancouver are repeatedly described as competitive, with community estimates around 1.5x–3x and longer waits for popular small configurations; Montreal remains under-documented.",
      "evidence_layers": [
        "RP001-A",
        "RP001-B",
        "RP001-C"
      ],
      "frequency": "commonly_observed",
      "confidence": "medium",
      "sample_strength": "limited",
      "causal_strength": "unproven",
      "status": "active"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-014",
      "topic_id": "online_spend",
      "statement": "Reports conflict on whether online spend is treated like an in-boutique purchase; global purchase history and local attribution may be separate.",
      "evidence_layers": [
        "RP001-A",
        "RP001-B",
        "RP001-C"
      ],
      "frequency": "conflicting",
      "confidence": "medium",
      "sample_strength": "limited",
      "causal_strength": "unknown",
      "status": "active"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-015",
      "topic_id": "constance_status",
      "statement": "Constance quota treatment is reported inconsistently across markets and sources.",
      "evidence_layers": [
        "RP001-A",
        "RP001-B",
        "RP001-C"
      ],
      "frequency": "conflicting",
      "confidence": "medium",
      "sample_strength": "limited",
      "causal_strength": "not_applicable",
      "status": "active"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP019-PERCEPTION-VS-DATA-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-016",
      "topic_id": "ratio_trend",
      "statement": "Dated Purchase Ratio reports show no change MyQuotaBag can confirm: the median rises when they are grouped by calendar year and does not when they are grouped by six-month window, on small samples.",
      "evidence_ids": [
        "RP019-A-CHECK-002",
        "RP019-A-CHECK-004",
        "RP019-A-CHECK-005"
      ],
      "data_as_of": "2026-09-10",
      "frequency": null,
      "confidence": "medium",
      "sample_strength": "limited",
      "causal_strength": "not_applicable",
      "status": "active"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP013-COMMUNITY-CLAIMS-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-017",
      "topic_id": "wishlist_definition",
      "statement": "Collectors describe the wishlist as the bags they tell their Sales Associate they hope to be offered, often with a size, a color or a leather.",
      "evidence_ids": [
        "RP013-A-CLAIM-0020",
        "RP013-A-CLAIM-0027",
        "RP013-A-CLAIM-0033",
        "RP013-A-CLAIM-0040",
        "RP013-A-CLAIM-0055",
        "RP013-A-CLAIM-0063"
      ],
      "frequency": "commonly_observed",
      "confidence": "medium",
      "sample_strength": "moderate",
      "causal_strength": "not_applicable",
      "status": "active"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP013-COMMUNITY-CLAIMS-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-018",
      "topic_id": "wishlist_timing",
      "statement": "When a Sales Associate asks for a wishlist varies widely: some reports describe it on a first purchase, others after a few months of purchases and some clients are still waiting to be asked after months of buying.",
      "evidence_ids": [
        "RP013-A-CLAIM-0023",
        "RP013-A-CLAIM-0026",
        "RP013-A-CLAIM-0031",
        "RP013-A-CLAIM-0046",
        "RP013-A-CLAIM-0055",
        "RP013-A-CLAIM-0058"
      ],
      "frequency": "commonly_observed",
      "confidence": "medium",
      "sample_strength": "limited",
      "causal_strength": "unproven",
      "status": "active"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP013-COMMUNITY-CLAIMS-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-019",
      "topic_id": "wishlist_specificity",
      "statement": "A narrow or much-requested wishlist is often described as taking longer to be offered and some offers differ from the wishlist, for example in color.",
      "evidence_ids": [
        "RP013-A-CLAIM-0020",
        "RP013-A-CLAIM-0024",
        "RP013-A-CLAIM-0036",
        "RP013-A-CLAIM-0065",
        "RP013-A-CLAIM-0066"
      ],
      "frequency": "commonly_observed",
      "confidence": "medium",
      "sample_strength": "limited",
      "causal_strength": "unproven",
      "status": "active"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP013-COMMUNITY-CLAIMS-2026-09",
      "observation_id": "MQB-OBS-020",
      "topic_id": "wishlist_markets",
      "statement": "Wishlist practice is reported to differ by market: some reports from the United Kingdom and Europe describe a wishlist with little or no pre-spend and waits of several years, while one United States report mentions a newer wishlist system.",
      "evidence_ids": [
        "RP013-A-CLAIM-0029",
        "RP013-A-CLAIM-0039",
        "RP025-A-LOW-003"
      ],
      "frequency": "occasionally_observed",
      "confidence": "low",
      "sample_strength": "limited",
      "causal_strength": "not_applicable",
      "status": "active"
    },
    {
      "observation_id": "RP025-A-OBS-001",
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP025-YOUTUBE-2026-09",
      "collection_pass_id": "RP025-A-YOUTUBE",
      "source_ids": [
        "RP025-A-SRC-005"
      ],
      "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nErNy0Xnvvk",
      "topic_id": "category_weighting",
      "claim": "A YouTube guide argues that people who diversify across departments — ready-to-wear, jewellery, home, shoes — are offered a quota bag sooner and with less pre-spend than people who concentrate their spending. No figures and no sourced journey support the claim.",
      "evidence_type": "specialist_synthesis",
      "frequency": "insufficient_data",
      "confidence": "low",
      "caveat": "Claim from an explainer video, with no quantified journey behind it. No primary source. Supports no figure."
    },
    {
      "observation_id": "RP025-A-OBS-002",
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP025-YOUTUBE-2026-09",
      "collection_pass_id": "RP025-A-YOUTUBE",
      "source_ids": [
        "RP025-A-SRC-005"
      ],
      "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nErNy0Xnvvk",
      "topic_id": "what_counts",
      "claim": "In the comments of that guide, one viewer states they bought only leather goods and shoes and were still offered a Kelly 28 and a Birkin 35. This runs against the widely repeated claim that leather does not count and it is kept as a contradiction rather than resolved.",
      "evidence_type": "aggregated_community_observation",
      "frequency": "insufficient_data",
      "confidence": "low",
      "caveat": "Claim from an explainer video, with no quantified journey behind it. No primary source. Supports no figure."
    },
    {
      "observation_id": "RP029-A-OBS-001",
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP029-SEARCH-INTENT-2026-09",
      "collection_pass_id": "RP029-A-SEARCH-INTENT",
      "source_ids": [
        "RP025-A-SRC-006"
      ],
      "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iwUCxNtlV9g",
      "topic_id": "category_weighting",
      "claim": "Ready-to-wear is placed in the top tier, described as the category boutique management values most.",
      "evidence_type": "specialist_synthesis",
      "frequency": "insufficient_data",
      "confidence": "low",
      "caveat": "Ranking proposed by a content creator, with no data behind it and no primary source. Hermès publishes no hierarchy of categories. Our own corpus already carries a direct contradiction: elsewhere, a viewer says they bought only leather and shoes and still received a Kelly 28 and a Birkin 35."
    },
    {
      "observation_id": "RP029-A-OBS-002",
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP029-SEARCH-INTENT-2026-09",
      "collection_pass_id": "RP029-A-SEARCH-INTENT",
      "source_ids": [
        "RP025-A-SRC-006"
      ],
      "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iwUCxNtlV9g",
      "topic_id": "category_weighting",
      "claim": "Fine jewellery and watches are placed in the top tier alongside ready-to-wear, for their unit value.",
      "evidence_type": "specialist_synthesis",
      "frequency": "insufficient_data",
      "confidence": "low",
      "caveat": "Ranking proposed by a content creator, with no data behind it and no primary source. Hermès publishes no hierarchy of categories. Our own corpus already carries a direct contradiction: elsewhere, a viewer says they bought only leather and shoes and still received a Kelly 28 and a Birkin 35."
    },
    {
      "observation_id": "RP029-A-OBS-003",
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP029-SEARCH-INTENT-2026-09",
      "collection_pass_id": "RP029-A-SEARCH-INTENT",
      "source_ids": [
        "RP025-A-SRC-006"
      ],
      "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iwUCxNtlV9g",
      "topic_id": "category_weighting",
      "claim": "Home and tableware are placed in a middle tier.",
      "evidence_type": "specialist_synthesis",
      "frequency": "insufficient_data",
      "confidence": "low",
      "caveat": "Ranking proposed by a content creator, with no data behind it and no primary source. Hermès publishes no hierarchy of categories. Our own corpus already carries a direct contradiction: elsewhere, a viewer says they bought only leather and shoes and still received a Kelly 28 and a Birkin 35."
    },
    {
      "observation_id": "RP029-A-OBS-004",
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP029-SEARCH-INTENT-2026-09",
      "collection_pass_id": "RP029-A-SEARCH-INTENT",
      "source_ids": [
        "RP025-A-SRC-006"
      ],
      "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iwUCxNtlV9g",
      "topic_id": "category_weighting",
      "claim": "Shoes and belts are placed in a middle tier and described as easy to sell, therefore worth less as a signal.",
      "evidence_type": "specialist_synthesis",
      "frequency": "insufficient_data",
      "confidence": "low",
      "caveat": "Ranking proposed by a content creator, with no data behind it and no primary source. Hermès publishes no hierarchy of categories. Our own corpus already carries a direct contradiction: elsewhere, a viewer says they bought only leather and shoes and still received a Kelly 28 and a Birkin 35."
    },
    {
      "observation_id": "RP029-A-OBS-005",
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP029-SEARCH-INTENT-2026-09",
      "collection_pass_id": "RP029-A-SEARCH-INTENT",
      "source_ids": [
        "RP025-A-SRC-006"
      ],
      "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iwUCxNtlV9g",
      "topic_id": "category_weighting",
      "claim": "Silk and twillies are placed low: an accumulation of silk is said not to unlock a quota bag in a competitive boutique.",
      "evidence_type": "specialist_synthesis",
      "frequency": "insufficient_data",
      "confidence": "low",
      "caveat": "Ranking proposed by a content creator, with no data behind it and no primary source. Hermès publishes no hierarchy of categories. Our own corpus already carries a direct contradiction: elsewhere, a viewer says they bought only leather and shoes and still received a Kelly 28 and a Birkin 35."
    },
    {
      "observation_id": "RP029-A-OBS-006",
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP029-SEARCH-INTENT-2026-09",
      "collection_pass_id": "RP029-A-SEARCH-INTENT",
      "source_ids": [
        "RP025-A-SRC-006"
      ],
      "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iwUCxNtlV9g",
      "topic_id": "what_counts",
      "claim": "Small leather goods and bag charms are placed lowest, on the grounds that leather already sells itself and asks no effort of the SA.",
      "evidence_type": "specialist_synthesis",
      "frequency": "insufficient_data",
      "confidence": "low",
      "caveat": "Ranking proposed by a content creator, with no data behind it and no primary source. Hermès publishes no hierarchy of categories. Our own corpus already carries a direct contradiction: elsewhere, a viewer says they bought only leather and shoes and still received a Kelly 28 and a Birkin 35."
    },
    {
      "observation_id": "RP029-A-OBS-007",
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP029-SEARCH-INTENT-2026-09",
      "collection_pass_id": "RP029-A-SEARCH-INTENT",
      "source_ids": [
        "RP025-A-SRC-006"
      ],
      "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iwUCxNtlV9g",
      "topic_id": "online_spend",
      "claim": "Purchases made on the website or in an airport boutique are said to credit nothing with a local SA. This is the strongest version of a claim our own corpus records as contradicted between cities.",
      "evidence_type": "specialist_synthesis",
      "frequency": "insufficient_data",
      "confidence": "low",
      "caveat": "Ranking proposed by a content creator, with no data behind it and no primary source. Hermès publishes no hierarchy of categories. Our own corpus already carries a direct contradiction: elsewhere, a viewer says they bought only leather and shoes and still received a Kelly 28 and a Birkin 35."
    }
  ],
  "contradictions": [
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "contradiction_id": "MQB-CONF-001",
      "topic_id": "online_spend",
      "position_a": "Online purchases can appear/count in client history.",
      "position_b": "Online purchases may count for little or nothing with the local boutique.",
      "status": "mixed",
      "possible_explanation": "Global purchase history and local attribution may be separate systems, so an online order can appear in a client's history without counting at the local boutique.",
      "confidence_in_explanation": "medium"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "contradiction_id": "MQB-CONF-002",
      "topic_id": "constance_status",
      "position_a": "Constance is quota/quota-like in some US/Asia reports.",
      "position_b": "Constance is non-quota/grey-area in other sources.",
      "status": "conflicting",
      "possible_explanation": "Regional/boutique variation or terminology differences.",
      "confidence_in_explanation": "medium"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "contradiction_id": "MQB-CONF-003",
      "topic_id": "annual_quota",
      "position_a": "Two-per-calendar-year is widely reported.",
      "position_b": "Published numeric rule clearly documented only in Japan in supplied material.",
      "status": "mixed_by_geography",
      "possible_explanation": "Official market-specific rule vs shopper-reported practice.",
      "confidence_in_explanation": "medium"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "contradiction_id": "MQB-CONF-004",
      "topic_id": "global_purchase_history",
      "position_a": "Some 2026 reports suggest broader linked histories.",
      "position_b": "Other reports describe store/country silos.",
      "status": "unconfirmed_conflicting",
      "possible_explanation": "System rollout, access-level differences, country rules or misunderstanding.",
      "confidence_in_explanation": "low"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "contradiction_id": "MQB-CONF-005",
      "topic_id": "category_weighting",
      "position_a": "Sources rank FJ/RTW/watch/home strongly.",
      "position_b": "No official numerical weighting formula found.",
      "status": "observed_unproven_weight",
      "possible_explanation": "Informal advocacy preference rather than formal formula.",
      "confidence_in_explanation": "medium"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "contradiction_id": "MQB-CONF-006",
      "topic_id": "first_vs_repeat_quota",
      "position_a": "Established clients can have low incremental spend later.",
      "position_b": "QB2 can also be slower or costlier.",
      "status": "mixed",
      "possible_explanation": "Model/configuration/inventory/relationship changes may dominate sequence.",
      "confidence_in_explanation": "medium"
    },
    {
      "contradiction_id": "RP033-A-CON-001",
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP033-RETAIL-HISTORY-2026-09",
      "topic_id": "quota_bag_ratio",
      "position_a": "CANON-EXP-000026 (Montreal, B25) annonce un ratio de 1.40:1, explicitement « not counting SLGs or non-quota stuff ».",
      "position_b": "The same person writes \"If I include leather and non-QB, I'm closer to around 39k CAD total\". Using the January 2026 Canadian boutique price of the B25 (17,000 CAD), 39,000 gives 2.29:1.",
      "possible_explanation": "This is NOT a contradiction: these are two different spend scopes, both accurate and both stated by the same person. The 1.40 excludes leather goods and non-quota items; the 39,000 includes everything. The consequence matters more than the case: a declared ratio and a recomputed ratio measure the same thing only when the spend scope is the same. Mixing the two in a median adds up incompatible scopes. Hence the spend_scope field and the classification of this line in group C.",
      "confidence_in_explanation": "high",
      "status": "explained_kept_both"
    }
  ],
  "benchmarks": [
    {
      "benchmark_id": "MQB-BENCH-OFFER-RATIO-MEASURED",
      "metric": "prespend_ratio",
      "population_definition": "first-person public reports of an offer, each filed individually in the MyQuotaBag dataset, with one Purchase Ratio that counts",
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-DATASET-CANONICAL",
      "sample": {
        "n": 174
      },
      "statistics": {
        "median": 1.5,
        "p25": 1,
        "p75": 2,
        "minimum": 0,
        "maximum": 9
      },
      "quantile_method": "linear interpolation between closest ranks (Excel PERCENTILE.INC)",
      "distribution": {
        "lt_0_5": 8,
        "0_5_to_1_0": 8,
        "1_0_to_1_5": 67,
        "1_5_to_2_0": 31,
        "2_0_to_2_5": 34,
        "2_5_to_3_0": 21,
        "gt_3_0": 5
      },
      "ratio_sources": {
        "declared": 163,
        "recalculated": 11
      },
      "subgroups": {
        "first_quota_bag": {
          "n": 84,
          "median": 1.55,
          "p25": 1,
          "p75": 2
        },
        "later_quota_bag": {
          "n": 25
        },
        "rank_unknown": {
          "n": 65
        },
        "by_model": {
          "Birkin 25": {
            "n": 33,
            "median": 1.3,
            "p25": 1,
            "p75": 2
          },
          "Birkin 30": {
            "n": 27,
            "median": 1.25,
            "p25": 1,
            "p75": 2
          },
          "Kelly 25": {
            "n": 23,
            "median": 1.5,
            "p25": 1.1,
            "p75": 2
          },
          "Mini Kelly": {
            "n": 9,
            "minimum": 1.5,
            "maximum": 3
          },
          "Birkin 35": {
            "n": 5,
            "minimum": 0,
            "maximum": 1.84
          },
          "Shoulder Birkin": {
            "n": 4,
            "minimum": 0,
            "maximum": 2
          },
          "Kelly 28": {
            "n": 3,
            "minimum": 1.2,
            "maximum": 1.35
          },
          "Constance": {
            "n": 2
          }
        },
        "wait_months_first_offer": {
          "n": 67,
          "median": 6,
          "p25": 4,
          "p75": 10
        },
        "no_offer_yet": {
          "n": 28,
          "note": "collectors still waiting at the date of their report; counted, never part of the median"
        }
      },
      "sample_bias": [
        "self_selected_public_reports"
      ],
      "confidence": "medium_high",
      "sample_strength": "moderate",
      "traceability": "row-level; every report is kept in the MyQuotaBag research dataset and the figure is recomputed from those rows on every update",
      "reproducibility": "reproducible internally: recomputed on every build from the rows MyQuotaBag holds; the rows stay private to protect the people behind them",
      "production_use": "Primary Purchase Ratio benchmark. Cite with its n."
    }
  ],
  "observed_ranges": [
    {
      "range_id": "MQB-RANGE-NA-QB-2026-09",
      "topic_id": "north_america_ratio_band",
      "range": {
        "min": 1,
        "max": 2.5,
        "unit": "x target bag retail"
      },
      "meaning": "descriptive band for many recent North American first-QB narratives",
      "confidence": "medium_high",
      "not_a_threshold": true
    },
    {
      "range_id": "MQB-RANGE-CANADA-COMMUNITY-2026-09",
      "topic_id": "canada_ratio_estimate",
      "range": {
        "min": 1.5,
        "max": 3,
        "unit": "x target bag retail"
      },
      "meaning": "community estimate for Toronto/Vancouver competitive contexts",
      "confidence": "medium",
      "sample_strength": "limited",
      "not_a_benchmark": true
    },
    {
      "range_id": "MQB-RANGE-WAIT-COMPETITIVE-2026-09",
      "topic_id": "waiting_time_competitive",
      "range": {
        "min_months": 12,
        "max_months": 24
      },
      "meaning": "commonly reported range in competitive Canadian/top-US contexts for popular 25/MK",
      "confidence": "medium",
      "sample_strength": "limited",
      "not_a_median": true
    }
  ],
  "exceptions": [
    {
      "exception_id": "MQB-EXC-001",
      "topic": "sub_1x_offer",
      "statement": "Sub-1x offers exist in public reports."
    },
    {
      "exception_id": "MQB-EXC-002",
      "topic": "very_low_incremental_repeat",
      "statement": "Very low incremental spend appears in established multi-QB journeys."
    },
    {
      "exception_id": "MQB-EXC-003",
      "topic": "high_ratio_failure",
      "statement": "3x–4x with no offer or no desired offer is reported."
    },
    {
      "exception_id": "MQB-EXC-004",
      "topic": "immediate_or_first_visit",
      "statement": "Immediate/first-visit allocation exceptions appear in travel/Asia narratives."
    }
  ],
  "canonical_topics": [
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "topic_id": "quota_ratio_general",
      "status": "active",
      "short_answer": "Recent public collector reports reviewed by MQB often fall around 1x–2.5x, but lower and higher outcomes exist.",
      "lead_answer": "As of September 30, 2026, across 174 first-person offer reports, the median Purchase Ratio is 1.50:1, half of them between 1.00:1 and 2.00:1; for the 84 confirmed first Quota Bag offers it is 1.55:1.",
      "detailed_answer": "Is reported pre-spend changing? Not clearly: in the reports MyQuotaBag holds with a date, the Purchase Ratio seems to rise from year to year but not from one six-month window to the next, on samples too small to confirm a trend. The central half of the reports sits between the 25th and 75th percentiles above; the wider 1x–2.5x band is where most reports fall. Sub-1x offers are documented; high-ratio journeys can still fail. These are observed public reports, not an Hermès threshold.",
      "confidence": "medium_high",
      "sample_strength": "moderate",
      "last_reviewed": "2026-10-03"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "topic_id": "mini_kelly",
      "status": "active",
      "short_answer": "Mini Kelly appears more competitive and more variable than many larger configurations.",
      "detailed_answer": "Recent community material includes low-ratio relationship exceptions and roughly 2–2.8x first-person examples; 3–5x figures appear more often as competitive-market estimates than fully documented transactions.",
      "confidence": "medium_high",
      "sample_strength": "limited_to_moderate",
      "last_reviewed": "2026-09-10"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "topic_id": "first_vs_repeat_quota",
      "status": "active",
      "short_answer": "Established clients sometimes receive later offers with much lower incremental spend, but QB2 is not automatically easier.",
      "detailed_answer": "Some multi-QB narratives show low incremental spend after years of history, while paired journeys also show later offers can be slower or more expensive.",
      "confidence": "medium_high",
      "sample_strength": "moderate",
      "last_reviewed": "2026-09-10"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "topic_id": "canada",
      "status": "active_with_caveat",
      "short_answer": "Toronto and Vancouver are repeatedly described as competitive; Montreal remains too thinly documented for a precise benchmark.",
      "detailed_answer": "Community material cites roughly 1.5x–3x and 12–24 month waits in Toronto/Vancouver contexts, but MQB lacks enough Montreal rows for rigorous ranking.",
      "confidence": "medium",
      "sample_strength": "limited",
      "last_reviewed": "2026-09-10"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "topic_id": "waiting_time",
      "status": "active_with_caveat",
      "short_answer": "Waiting time varies enormously—from immediate/travel exceptions to well over a year.",
      "lead_answer": "The Birkin waiting list has no single length: as of September 30, 2026, collectors in MyQuotaBag Data report a median wait of 6 months before a first quota bag offer, half of them between 4 and 10 months (67 reports, each counted from the start it gives).",
      "detailed_answer": "Several-month relationship journeys are commonly described, while competitive Canadian/top-US contexts frequently produce 12–24+ month reports. Current data is not standardized enough for a clean median.",
      "confidence": "medium",
      "sample_strength": "limited",
      "last_reviewed": "2026-09-30"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "topic_id": "category_weighting",
      "status": "active_with_caveat",
      "short_answer": "Ready-to-Wear, fine jewelry, watches and home are the categories collectors mention most often; no formula has been verified.",
      "lead_answer": "No Hermès list of what counts toward pre-spend appears in the materials MyQuotaBag reviewed, so the answer comes from collector reports, which disagree on leather goods and online orders.",
      "detailed_answer": "Specialist and community sources most often mention Ready-to-Wear, fine jewelry, watches, home and sometimes shoes. Some collectors believe leather-heavy profiles weigh less; that is a community perception, not a verified rule.",
      "confidence": "medium_high",
      "sample_strength": "moderate",
      "last_reviewed": "2026-09-30"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "topic_id": "online_spend",
      "status": "conflicting",
      "lead_answer": "Whether online Hermès spend counts toward pre-spend is not settled: some collectors report that orders on the Hermès website appear in their client history, while others report that such orders count for little or nothing with their local boutique.",
      "short_answer": "Online spend is mixed: collectors disagree on whether it is treated like an in-boutique purchase.",
      "detailed_answer": "Reports disagree, so both positions are shown.",
      "confidence": "medium",
      "sample_strength": "limited",
      "last_reviewed": "2026-09-30"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "topic_id": "constance_status",
      "status": "conflicting",
      "short_answer": "Constance treatment varies in the public record and should not be stated as universally quota or non-quota.",
      "lead_answer": "Whether a Constance is a quota bag depends on the market: some reports from the United States and Asia describe it as a quota or quota-like bag, while other sources treat it as outside the quota.",
      "detailed_answer": "US/Asia discussions often describe quota/quota-like treatment while other sources describe non-quota/grey-area.",
      "confidence": "medium",
      "sample_strength": "limited",
      "last_reviewed": "2026-09-30"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "topic_id": "montreal_ratio",
      "status": "insufficient_data",
      "short_answer": "MQB does not yet have enough Montreal-specific first-person data for a precise benchmark.",
      "detailed_answer": "Toronto and Vancouver estimates are not applied to Montreal.",
      "confidence": "low",
      "sample_strength": "insufficient",
      "last_reviewed": "2026-09-10",
      "lead_answer": "As of September 30, 2026, MyQuotaBag Data holds 9 first-person reports from Montreal: too few for a benchmark, so this page shows what they report."
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "topic_id": "prespend_basics",
      "status": "active",
      "short_answer": "Pre-spend is what collectors call the purchases a client makes at Hermès before being offered a quota bag such as a Birkin or Kelly. Compared with the price of that bag, it becomes the ratio MyQuotaBag calls the Purchase Ratio.",
      "detailed_answer": "No Hermès pre-spend rule or threshold appears in the materials MyQuotaBag reviewed, so what counts and how much are known only from collector reports. Collectors most often name Ready-to-Wear, fine jewelry, watches and home among the purchases that count, while leather goods and online orders are disputed. The Purchase Ratios collectors reported at their offer, measured in MyQuotaBag Data, are not a threshold set by Hermès.",
      "confidence": "medium_high",
      "sample_strength": "moderate",
      "last_reviewed": "2026-09-30"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP013-COMMUNITY-CLAIMS-2026-09",
      "topic_id": "wishlist_process",
      "status": "active_with_caveat",
      "short_answer": "The Hermès wishlist is the short list of bags a client hopes to be offered, given to a Sales Associate with details such as size, color and leather. In the reports MyQuotaBag reviewed, when the wishlist is asked for and how long an offer takes vary widely.",
      "detailed_answer": "Some clients are asked for their wishlist on a first purchase, others after months of purchases and some are still waiting to be asked. A narrow or much-requested wishlist is often described as taking longer and some offers differ from it, for example in color. Practice also differs by market: some reports from the United Kingdom and Europe describe a wishlist with little or no pre-spend and waits of several years, while one United States report mentions a newer wishlist system. Whether a wishlist expires and what happens when an offer is not on it each rest on a single discussion, so MyQuotaBag Data does not answer them yet.",
      "confidence": "medium",
      "sample_strength": "limited",
      "last_reviewed": "2026-09-30"
    },
    {
      "research_pack_id": "MQB-RP001-QUOTA-RATIO-2026-09",
      "topic_id": "first_birkin",
      "status": "active_with_caveat",
      "short_answer": "In the public reports MyQuotaBag reviewed, collectors get a first Birkin through an offer from their Sales Associate, after building a purchase history and a relationship at a boutique. An offer on a first visit appears only as an exception, mostly while traveling.",
      "detailed_answer": "Continuity with the same Sales Associate and the boutique management's awareness of the client come up again and again in successful journeys, though no one has shown that they cause an offer. The Purchase Ratios collectors report at their offer spread widely and a high ratio does not ensure the requested bag. Small neutral configurations such as a Birkin 25 are described as harder to be offered and waits run from a first visit to well over a year. Paris appointment journeys follow their own path and are kept apart from home-boutique journeys.",
      "confidence": "medium",
      "sample_strength": "moderate",
      "last_reviewed": "2026-09-30"
    }
  ],
  "research_gaps": [
    {
      "gap_id": "GAP-001",
      "topic": "Montreal ratio and wait data",
      "priority": "critical",
      "reason": "Montreal is under-documented compared with Toronto and Vancouver."
    },
    {
      "gap_id": "GAP-002",
      "topic": "Per-model benchmarks (B25, B30, K25, K28, Mini Kelly)",
      "priority": "high",
      "reason": "The samples are too small for clean per-model medians."
    },
    {
      "gap_id": "GAP-003",
      "topic": "Standard waiting-time anchors",
      "priority": "high",
      "reason": "Reports do not share common start and end points for a wait."
    },
    {
      "gap_id": "GAP-004",
      "topic": "Paris boutiques (Faubourg Saint-Honoré, Sèvres, George V)",
      "priority": "high",
      "reason": "Tourist, local and appointment paths need to be documented separately."
    },
    {
      "gap_id": "GAP-005",
      "topic": "Category weighting",
      "priority": "high",
      "reason": "Categories come up often, but no causal or numeric weight has been shown."
    },
    {
      "gap_id": "GAP-006",
      "topic": "Online and travel spend attribution",
      "priority": "medium_high",
      "reason": "Reports conflict."
    },
    {
      "gap_id": "GAP-007",
      "topic": "Household and global account integration",
      "priority": "medium",
      "reason": "Reports from 2026 conflict."
    },
    {
      "gap_id": "GAP-008",
      "topic": "First-person sources in languages other than English",
      "priority": "medium",
      "reason": "English-language sources are overrepresented."
    },
    {
      "gap_id": "GAP-009",
      "topic": "Individual rows behind the earlier n=31 summary benchmark",
      "priority": "critical",
      "reason": "Needed to make that earlier research-pass summary independently reproducible. The measured benchmark of the Purchase Ratio page is not concerned: MyQuotaBag holds every row behind it and recomputes it on every build."
    },
    {
      "gap_id": "GAP-013",
      "topic": "First-person reports outside North America and Asia",
      "priority": "high",
      "reason": "Australia, Europe and the Middle East have very few reports, so their regional pages carry no figures."
    },
    {
      "gap_id": "GAP-014",
      "topic": "Boutique-level detail",
      "priority": "medium",
      "reason": "No report is attached to a specific boutique yet."
    },
    {
      "gap_id": "GAP-016",
      "topic": "Manager approval and allocation path",
      "priority": "medium",
      "reason": "Nothing documents whether an offer needs a manager sign-off, or in which markets."
    },
    {
      "gap_id": "GAP-020",
      "topic": "Online purchases and the Purchase Ratio",
      "priority": "high",
      "reason": "Few threads cover it and reports from different cities disagree."
    },
    {
      "gap_id": "GAP-021",
      "topic": "Annual quota bag limit",
      "priority": "critical",
      "reason": "Few threads document an annual limit and most markets rest on shopper reports."
    },
    {
      "gap_id": "GAP-022",
      "topic": "Wishlist expiry and renewal",
      "priority": "medium",
      "reason": "A single thread covers it."
    },
    {
      "gap_id": "GAP-023",
      "topic": "Being offered a bag that is not on the wishlist",
      "priority": "medium",
      "reason": "A single thread covers it."
    },
    {
      "gap_id": "GAP-024",
      "topic": "Effect of price increases on the Purchase Ratio",
      "priority": "medium",
      "reason": "Only two threads cover it."
    },
    {
      "gap_id": "GAP-025",
      "topic": "Remote and by-text shopping",
      "priority": "medium",
      "reason": "Few threads cover it."
    },
    {
      "gap_id": "GAP-026",
      "topic": "Bag retail prices by model, size and market",
      "priority": "medium",
      "reason": "Reports rarely give the bag price in the same post as the spend, so most ratios cannot be recomputed."
    },
    {
      "gap_id": "GAP-027",
      "topic": "Visit frequency",
      "priority": "medium",
      "reason": "No report in the corpus carries a visit count."
    }
  ]
}